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It is common to blame the inadequacy of credit risk models for the fact that the financial crisis has caught many market participants by surprise. On closer inspection, though, it often appears that market participants failed to understand or to use the models correctly. The recent events therefore do not invalidate traditional credit risk modeling as described in the first edition of the book. A second edition is timely, however, because the first dealt relatively briefly with instruments featuring prominently in the crisis (CDSs and CDOs). In addition to expanding the coverage of these instruments, the book will focus on modeling aspects which were of particular relevance in the financial crisis (e.g. estimation error) and demonstrate the usefulness of credit risk modelling through case studies. This book provides practitioners and students with an intuitive, hands-on introduction to modern credit risk modelling. Every chapter starts with an explanation of the methodology and then the authors take the reader step by step through the implementation of the methods in Excel and VBA. They focus specifically on risk management issues and cover default probability estimation (scoring, structural models, and transition matrices), correlation and portfolio analysis, validation, as well as credit default swaps and structured finance. The book has an accompanying website, http://loeffler-posch.com/, which has been specially updated for this Second Edition and contains slides and exercises for lecturers.
In today's increasingly competitive financial world, successful risk management, portfolio management, and financial structuring demand more than up-to-date financial know-how. They also call for quantitative expertise, including the ability to effectively apply mathematical modeling tools and techniques, in this case credit. Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA with DVD provides practitioners with a hands on introduction to credit risk modeling. Instead of just presenting analytical methods it shows how to implement them using Excel and VBA, in addition to a detailed description in the text a DVD guides readers step by step through the implementation. The authors begin by showing how to use option theoretic and statistical models to estimate a borrowers default risk. The second half of the book is devoted to credit portfolio risk. The authors guide readers through the implementation of a credit risk model, show how portfolio models can be validated or used to access structured credit products like CDO’s. The final chapters address modeling issues associated with the new Basel Accord.
IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation covers a hot topic in risk management. Both IFRS 9 and CECL accounting standards require Banks to adopt a new perspective in assessing Expected Credit Losses. The book explores a wide range of models and corresponding validation procedures. The most traditional regression analyses pave the way to more innovative methods like machine learning, survival analysis, and competing risk modelling. Special attention is then devoted to scarce data and low default portfolios. A practical approach inspires the learning journey. In each section the theoretical dissertation is accompanied by Examples and Case Studies worked in R and SAS, the most widely used software packages used by practitioners in Credit Risk Management. Offers a broad survey that explains which models work best for mortgage, small business, cards, commercial real estate, commercial loans and other credit products Concentrates on specific aspects of the modelling process by focusing on lifetime estimates Provides an hands-on approach to enable readers to perform model development, validation and audit of credit risk models
This master's-level introduction to mainstream credit risk modelling balances rigorous theory with real-world, post-credit crisis examples.
"Professional Financial Computing Using Excel and VBA is an admirable exposition that bridges the theoretical underpinnings of financial engineering and its application which usually appears as a "black-box" software application. The book opens the black-box and reveals the architecture of risk-modeling and financial engineering based on industry-standard stochastic models by utilizing Excel and VBA functionality to create a robust and practical modeling tool-kit. Financial engineering professionals who purchase this book will have a jumpstart advantage for their customized financial engineering and modeling needs." Dr. Cameron Wicentowich Vice President, Treasury Analytics Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) "Spreadsheet modeling for finance has become a standard course in the curriculum of many Quantitative Finance programs since the Excel-based Visual Basic programming is now widely used in constructing optimal portfolios, pricing structured products and managing risks. Professional Financial Computing Using Excel and VBA is written by a unique team of finance, physics and computer academics and practitioners. It is a good reference for those who are studying for a Masters degree in Financial Engineering and Risk Management. It can also be useful for financial engineers to jump-start a project on designing structured products, modeling interest term structure or credit risks." Dr. Jin Zhang Director of Master of Finance Program and Associate Professor The University of Hong Kong "Excel has been one of the most powerful tools for financial planning and computing over the last few years. Most users utilize a fraction of its capabilities. One of the reasons is the limited availability of books that cover the advanced features of Excel for Finance. Professional Financial Computing Using Excel and VBA goes the extra mile and deals with the Excel tools many professionals call for. This book is a must for professionals or students dealing with financial engineering, financial risk management, computational finance or mathematical finance. I loved the way the authors covered the material using real life, hands-on examples." Dr. Isaac Gottlieb Temple University Author, Next Generation Excel: Modeling in Excel for Analysts and MBAs
Co-authored by two respected authorities on hedge funds and asset management, this implementation-oriented guide shows you how to employ a range of the most commonly used analysis tools and techniques both in industry and academia, for understanding, identifying and managing risk as well as for quantifying return factors across several key investment strategies. The book is also suitable for use as a core textbook for specialised graduate level courses in hedge funds and alternative investments. The book provides hands-on coverage of the visual and theoretical methods for measuring and modelling hedge fund performance with an emphasis on risk-adjusted performance metrics and techniques. A range of sophisticated risk analysis models and risk management strategies are also described in detail. Throughout, coverage is supplemented with helpful skill building exercises and worked examples in Excel and VBA. The book's dedicated website, www.darbyshirehampton.com provides Excel spreadsheets and VBA source code which can be freely downloaded and also features links to other relevant and useful resources. A comprehensive course in hedge fund modelling and analysis, this book arms you with the knowledge and tools required to effectively manage your risks and to optimise the return profile of your investment style.
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